Probably the most critical issue/trend facing Retailers right now is the Credit Crunch.
As you must know, the subprime mortgage crisis in 2007 has had a massive global financial impact. From a retail consumer perspective it seems however, that the recession effect still has some way to go. ONS figures for last month showed a rise of 1.2% in sales, although retailers are not convinced and the rise is being attributed to a number of reasons from massive price reductions to the high street being a “lagging indicator” to general volatility shown by the May surge and July drop.
Either way, the immediate impact is uncertainty. Lenders are uncertain about future sources and costs of funding, while consumers are unsure about how much further house prices will continue to decline, and whether or not widespread job losses and mortgage rate rises are really going to happen.
All expectation is that this is a recession that will deepen and the trend towards careful spending is going to put increasing pressure on retail margins. As it stands, the policy of reductions that retailers have employed to boost sales is seriously hitting profits. The John Lewis Partnership recently underlined this by announcing a 27% fall in first-half profits attributed mostly to price cuts and increased marketing spend.
Finally apart from the direct impact to profits discussed, the credit crunch is also severely impacting investors and share prices, and nervousness in the financial markets is making it harder to raise investment capital for new initiatives.
The effect of the global credit crunch on business and consumer spending thus means that retailers must look to innovate and create competitive advantage without the luxury of profit growth and flexible budgets. In short it means they need low cost / high benefit customer propositions that involve linking up existing assets to improve customer propositions rather than involving large spend on new systems, staff or channels.
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